Discussions with voters and activists in Hidalgo County proposed that there is not 1 answer but several: Females who staunchly oppose abortion voted for the initial time wives of Border Patrol agents felt persuaded the Trump administration was firmly on their aspect mothers picked up on the enthusiasm for Republicans from friends they realized by means of church or their children’s college.

For many voters in the location, there is a profound sense of cynicism — a feeling that things will not alter no make any difference who is demand. The border, right after all, has been the web page of a humanitarian disaster under both equally Democrats and Republicans. Practically every person right here knows both of those undocumented immigrants and Border Patrol agents, once in a while even in the similar spouse and children. And for lots of in this article, regulation enforcement stays a person of the simplest paths to the middle class, and Republicans have portrayed nationwide Democrats as hostile toward the law enforcement.

Equally Republicans and Democrats are probably this year to begin funneling significantly far more cash into the area, wherever enthusiasm for the G.O.P. in 2020 was not limited to Mr. Trump. For the to start with time in latest background, a Republican came shut to defeating the Democratic incumbent in Texas’ 15th Congressional District, which contains most of Hidalgo County and operates north of McAllen up to San Antonio.

In following year’s race for the seat, the Republican prospect, Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez, is again complicated Agent Vicente Gonzalez, a Democrat — but they may possibly be competing on distinctive political terrain if the district’s “bacon strip” condition is altered in redistricting later on this yr.

At the neighborhood Lincoln Reagan Republican meal in March, Mr. Abbott rallied support for Ms. De La Cruz-Hernandez and inspired other ladies like her to occur into the G.O.P. fold, speaking in glowing conditions about their political potential and expressing he experienced “never been as impressed” with the management of a county celebration.

“I’ve under no circumstances been onstage with so many achieved, articulate Latinas as I have been tonight with this group of girls,” he informed an enthusiastic crowd. “This is remarkable. If I had been the Democrats, I would be incredibly concerned suitable now, because there is a storm coming, a storm that is heading to get Hidalgo County. I wanted to be below in particular person, needed to say thank you.”